Options Markets Say a $90K Bitcoin Comeback Is Unlikely
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Bitcoin holdings from public companies, USD. Source: bitcontreasuries.netDerivatives traders are putting real numbers on Bitcoin pessimism.
March options on Deribit imply just a 6% chance of BTC reclaiming $90,000 by late March. The pricing shows far more demand for downside protection, with puts at $50,000 reflecting a roughly 20% probability of a deeper sell-off.
The message from options markets is clear: traders see limited upside and elevated downside risk in the near term.
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