Prediction Markets Say $150K Bitcoin Is a Long Shot — For Now

[johnblockbuster]

Prediction market traders on Polymarket are pricing in cautious expectations for Bitcoin. Current odds suggest only a 21% chance that Bitcoin reaches $150,000 before the end of the year, even though the asset has spent much of the cycle defying conservative forecasts. By contrast, the most “confident” bet on the board is $100,000, carrying roughly 80% probability.

This hesitation reflects a market still digesting uncertainty after Bitcoin closed 2025 in the red. With volatility lingering and momentum muted below $90,000, traders appear reluctant to bet aggressively on near-term upside, preferring safer targets even as long-term optimism remains intact.

[JanEmil]

Any bets on 50K ?

[lingriiddd]

@JanEmil dont be that negative hhaa