Conditions That Would Confirm a Bear Market

[cryptobro]

The crypto market isn’t in a confirmed bear market yet — but it could become one if key triggers fire:
1️⃣ BTC stays below its 365-day MA for 4–6 weeks
2️⃣ Long-term holders distribute >1M BTC in 60 days
3️⃣ Market-wide MACD turns fully negative
Until these activate, the market remains in high-risk mid-cycle breakdown, not a full macro downtrend.

[alex10]

A true bear market needs structural weakness, not just price dips.

[Abdul Khan]

Macro signals matter more than short-term volatility.