Fundamentals & Catalyst

• Alephium is a next-generation Layer-1 blockchain combining a stateful UTXO model, sharding tech (BlockFlow), and a “Proof of Less Work” consensus, offering high TPS and energy efficiency.

• The token ALPH powers the ecosystem: mining incentives, developer SDKs, and support for dApps built on the chain.

• Recent news show institutional-grade partnerships and roadmap momentum such as the Phase 2 Roadmap Teaser and PrimeVault custody integration.

Why this matters => The technical stack and ecosystem signals suggest ALPH is moving beyond speculative status into infrastructure play, creating a bullish tailwind for the setup.

Technical Picture

• ALPH has been trading inside a clear falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal structure indicating price compression ahead of a breakout.

• Price is now sliding toward the strong round-number support at $0.10, a psychological anchor and historical inflection zone.

• Trigger for confirmation: A clean break above the last major high (blue zone on chart) followed by a retest or sustained close above it.

• On that breakout, the first target is significant: the next round number at $0.50, offering substantial upside.

• Risk control: A sustained breakdown below $0.10 would invalidate the bullish reversal thesis and turn the wedge into a trap.

🧭 Trading Plan

• Watch zone: ~$0.10 support, ideal area to look for bullish reversal signals (rejection wicks, volume pickup, retest of breakout).

• Entry trigger: Break & hold above recent blue-zone high, with confirmation (H4/DAILY) + backing volume.

• Targets: $0.50 as primary upside; intermediate stops could scale profits earlier.

• Invalidation level: Close below $0.10 turns the bullish scenario off, flip to neutral/bearish until structural support reasserts.

️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.

All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr

Price is pulling back into a chunky demand block that overlaps the rising channel’s lower trendline and the correction’s (falling wedge) lower rail—a classic confluence. As long as this intersection holds, I expect the up-trend to resume from here.

My plan is simple: wait for a bullish rejection (wick/engulfing or a 4H–1D close back above the blue zone), then ride the bounce. If it triggers, I’ll look up into ~4,350 → 4,600 → 4,900. The setup is invalidated on a decisive daily close below the zone and trendline, which would open a deeper mean-reversion toward ~3,500 → 3,250 first.

Trade the reaction, not the level—confirmation > anticipation.

️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research and manage risk.

All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr.

Gold broke past $4,100/oz today, pulling along silver, driven by strong expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. Safe-haven demand is heating up as macro uncertainty builds.

Asian stocks kicked off mixed, with early gains fading as traders absorbed conflicting signals on U.S.-China tensions. Taiwan and South Korea saw strength; Japan and Hong Kong lagged. Gold held up, while BTC & ETH dipped.

Talks are on: Trump is set to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping in South Korea later this month, aiming to reduce the strain from recently proposed U.S. tariffs and China’s tightened export rules on rare earths.

President Trump is planning a visit to Malaysia on October 26, timed with the ASEAN summit in Kuala Lumpur (Oct 26–28). The trip will spotlight efforts to broker a ceasefire between Thailand and Cambodia, including mine and artillery removal from disputed border zones.

ZEC just printed a vertical weekly surge and is now trading around $230–$235, with the next major headwinds stacked above at $280 and $300. That $280–$300 band is a multi-year resistance zone, so I expect supply to show up there on first touch.

For healthy continuation, I’d like to see any pullback hold above the reclaimed breakout shelf around $200, with a broader buffer into $180. If buyers defend that $200/180 area and print a higher-low on the weekly, the path back into $280 → $300 remains open. A clean weekly close through $300 would unlock room toward prior extremes, but I’ll respect the first test as resistance.

If momentum fades and price loses $180, the breakout begins to unwind and I’d anticipate a deeper mean-reversion toward the historical support band around $100–$80, which would invalidate the near-term bullish continuation case.

Volatility is elevated after a vertical move; size modestly and let the levels do the work.

All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr

SNX blasted out of its base and is now cooling off just under the $2.50 resistance. As long as price holds above the reclaimed band between $1.50 and $1.10, I treat dips into that area as a buy-the-pullback zone aligned with structure support.

A daily close above $2.50 would put the next ceilings at $3.60 and then $4.00 in play. If buyers fail and price loses $1.50, I’d expect a deeper retest toward $1.10; a sustained daily close below $1.10 would invalidate the bullish continuation setup and return SNX to its prior range. Manage risk—volatility here is elevated after the vertical move.

All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr

RENDER is still travelling inside a broad descending channel, but price has just defended the higher-timeframe support band between $2.00 and $3.00. As long as weekly closes keep holding above this zone, I expect the market to carve out a base and attempt a relief leg toward the mid-range and the falling channel line, which aligns with $7.00, and—if momentum extends—the next ceiling near $8.00.

A weekly breakout and close above the red descending trendline would be the first structural signal that the larger downtrend is ending and that a trend reversal is underway. Conversely, a decisive weekly close below $2.00 would invalidate the basing attempt and reopen downside toward prior liquidity pockets. Until either level gives way, I’m treating this as a range-to-channel play from support toward resistance.

All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr

POL remains inside a rising channel, so the primary bias stays bullish. The recent drop is unfolding within a falling corrective channel; price has just rebounded from the 0.165–0.200 support zone, which also overlaps the channel’s lower boundary. As long as daily closes hold above 0.165–0.200, I expect the correction to fade and the up-trend to resume, first targeting the mid-range around 0.24–0.26, then the channel top near 0.30–0.32 if momentum strengthens.

If sellers push the market back below 0.165 on a daily close, the bullish structure would be compromised and the risk opens for a deeper slide toward 0.14–0.12. Until then, I’m watching for a clean breakout above the red corrective channel to confirm continuation.

All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr

DASH just printed a sharp impulse from the long-held base and is now sitting mid-range around $46–47. The higher-timeframe structure is clean: the support zone sits at $20–30, where prior bases formed, and the resistance zone is $65–75, which capped every rally in 2023–2024.

As long as weekly closes hold above $30, I treat dips as pullbacks within a new upswing and look for a higher low to form somewhere between $32–38. If momentum resumes from here, the first objective is a retest of $65, with an extension toward $75 if that ceiling breaks on a weekly close. If price instead rolls over and loses $30, the move risks retracing toward the lower edge of support near $20, which would postpone the bullish scenario.

The idea is straightforward: respect the new momentum while it holds above $30, take profits into $65–75, and invalidate the bullish bias on a weekly close back below $30 (and especially below $20). All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr

Price is still trading within the orange ascending channel, so the broader bias stays bullish while the $107.5k–$111k demand (red zone / lower channel line) holds. From here, I’m expecting attempts to rotate back up toward the $118k resistance (blue band). A daily close above $118k would likely unlock the next leg to the $124k–$125k supply (green band).

If the market loses $107.5k on a daily close, the channel structure breaks, and risk shifts to a deeper pullback—first toward $103k–$105k, and then the higher-timeframe support area down at $92k–$96k (blue zone).

Trading plan (not advice): favor dip-buys within $107.5k–$111k while it holds, targeting $118k then $125k; invalidate the idea on a daily close below $107.5k.

All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr.

Bitcoin has bounced from the daily support area (the broad green zone around $110K–$112K), reclaiming the intraday breakdown zone near $114K and turning it into support on lower timeframes. As long as price holds above $112K–$113K, the short-term bias remains constructive and I am looking for continuation toward $118K, followed by the $121K–$122K supply zone highlighted on the chart.

If buyers fail to defend $112K–$113K, the rebound loses momentum and the door reopens for a deeper retest of the daily support around $110K and potentially the lower band near $107K–$108K.

️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research and manage risk.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr.

Trump’s tariff gambit isn’t hitting China — it’s already hurting U.S. companies. Many firms are reporting squeezed margins and passing costs onto consumers.

The narrative of “foreign pays” is crumbling under real economic pressure.

As a ceasefire deal moves forward, all remaining Israeli hostages are being released — and Hamas is deploying fighters in Gaza in a show of force amid the diplomatic moment.

This isn’t just a humanitarian moment — it's power politics in motion.

Top global banks — including Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, UBS & more — are exploring issuing stablecoins pegged to G7 currencies.

This isn’t just crypto hype — it’s legacy finance dipping toes into digital money.

Asian stocks slid today, weighed down by fears of renewed U.S.–China conflict. Japan’s market instability and doubts about its leadership didn’t help either.

But Wall Street futures tried clawing back some ground — the day’s drama is far from over.

At the IMF/World Bank meetings, Trump threatened 100% tariffs on Chinese goods and slammed export controls, sending markets into a tailspin. The trade freeze that was thawing just got refrozen.

Markets hate uncertainty — this move could drag the global growth narrative back to zero.

$AUDUSD is currently testing a major support confluence zone, where the rising blue trendline, the green demand area, and the lower boundary of the short-term red falling channel intersect. This cluster of technical factors adds strength to the support and keeps the overall structure bullish.

As long as price continues to hold above the 0.6450–0.6485 zone, the bullish outlook remains valid, and I’ll be looking for long opportunities from this area. A rebound from this level could trigger a move toward 0.6560, followed by 0.6620–0.6670, aligning with the upper boundary of the broader channel.

However, a 4H close below 0.6425 would invalidate this bullish scenario and shift the focus toward the next support zone near 0.6380.

️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.

Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.

Good luck!

All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr.

Price is trending inside a rising channel on the 4H and is pulling back into the 0.8000 support zone (mid-channel). As long as this blue area holds, the bullish structure remains intact.

Bullish setup: Look for longs on a reaction above 0.8000–0.7980.

Targets: 0.8060 first, then the channel top near 0.8120–0.8150.

Invalidation: A 4H close below 0.7960 would weaken the setup and expose 0.7900.

️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.

Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.

Good luck!

All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr.