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  1. Home
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  3. Is the AI Trade Done for Now?

Is the AI Trade Done for Now?

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Trading
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  • bonkB Offline
    bonkB Offline
    bonk
    wrote last edited by
    #1

    54179656629_d7b9a61537_o.jpg 📉 Are the AI Trades Getting Tired?

    AI has dominated market narratives for months — but some of the trend leaders are flashing fatigue signals.

    🔹 Microsoft (MSFT)
    Jumped on earnings (July 31) but couldn’t hold the highs. It’s been making lower highs since, and just broke the bottom of its triangle. Closed under the 21-day EMA for the first time since April. MACD rolling over too = short-term trend may be shifting negative.

    🔹 Palantir (PLTR)
    Classic “gap-and-fade.” Shot to new highs on big news… only to give it all back. Now it’s lower than the breakout day.

    🔹 Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
    Doubled since March, but weekly chart says stalling. $187.28 (April 2024 peak) acting like a ceiling.

    📊 Options Heat
    MSFT, PLTR, and AMD remain among the most active underliers in the options market — perfect battlegrounds for calls & puts depending on your read of the trend.

    ⚡ Takeaway: AI names aren’t dead — but momentum is clearly pausing. For active traders, this is when risk/reward flips. Either you fade tired moves… or prepare for the next surprise squeeze.

    👉 What’s your play here — short the “AI exhaustion,” or load up before the next leg higher?

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • K Offline
      K Offline
      kelson10
      wrote last edited by
      #2

      Honestly looks like the AI trade is gassed out in the short term.
      MSFT losing the 21-day EMA + MACD rollover is a textbook momentum shift. PLTR gave back its entire gap — that’s pure exhaustion. AMD can’t crack $187 = heavy ceiling.

      Options flow might stay hot, but to me that just means more ammo for downside if sentiment turns.
      This feels like the part of the cycle where retail chases headlines, while smart money quietly loads up on puts. 📉

      1 Reply Last reply
      1
      • N Offline
        N Offline
        Nahid10
        wrote last edited by
        #3

        I see this more as a healthy reset than a top.
        MSFT, PLTR, AMD have all run insane since March — a pause under resistance doesn’t kill the AI mega-trend.
        Every time we’ve seen these “exhaustion” setups in 2023/24, they turned into springboards for the next breakout.

        Big money is still pouring into AI data centers + chips. Options heat shows traders want exposure both ways, but I’d rather fade the panic and scale in on dips. 🚀
        AI isn’t done — it’s just catching its breath.

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • M Offline
          M Offline
          Maxwell
          wrote last edited by
          #4

          Microsoft breaking down and Palantir fading shows short-term AI fatigue. Not chasing highs here.

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • rafihasanR Offline
            rafihasanR Offline
            rafihasan
            wrote last edited by
            #5

            AI dips keep getting bought. Looks more like a reload zone than the end of the trend

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • N Offline
              N Offline
              Nahiar806
              wrote last edited by
              #6

              Volatility in Microsoft, Palantir, and Advanced Micro Devices makes for perfect options setups. Let bulls and bears fight it out

              1 Reply Last reply
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