EURUSD - Bullish fair value gap and fibonacci support!

[cryptoenthusiast]

At the end of July, EUR/USD experienced a sharp and decisive move to the downside, signaling a strong bearish momentum in the market. Following this decline, the pair began to recover, steadily climbing and partially filling the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). After tapping into the 4-hour FVG, price action has entered a corrective phase, moving lower towards a confluence of bullish levels. This area is defined by both the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs, which align perfectly with the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement tool, a high-probability zone often watched by traders for potential reversals.

Bullish Support
The key bullish support zone sits around the 1.158 to 1.160 range. This area holds significant importance because it combines two strong technical factors: the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs, as well as the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement. The overlap of these technical elements often acts as a magnet for price and can create a strong foundation for a bullish reaction. If the market respects this zone, we could see EUR/USD push higher in the short term, as traders capitalize on the support to drive price towards higher resistance areas.

Bearish Resistance
On the upside, the main bearish resistance zone lies between 1.170 and 1.174. This area represents the final portion of the unfilled bearish 4-hour FVG and could act as a significant barrier for further bullish progress. If price returns to this level, the strong supply pressure could result in a sweep of recent highs, fully filling the 4-hour FVG before potentially resuming the downward trend. This scenario aligns with the idea that sellers may re-enter the market aggressively once this resistance zone is tested.

Final Thoughts
Given the current market structure, my expectation is that the bullish support zone around 1.158 to 1.160 will hold, providing a potential launchpad for price to revisit and possibly complete the filling of the bearish 4-hour FVG near 1.174. However, if the market breaks decisively below the 1-hour FVG, it could indicate a shift in sentiment, opening the door for a bearish continuation and deeper downside targets. The coming sessions will be critical in determining whether EUR/USD can maintain bullish momentum or if sellers will regain control.

[Maxwell]

The confluence at 1.158–1.160 is solid — golden pocket + multi-timeframe FVGs is exactly the type of structure smart money watches.

[Nahiar806]

I like how you’ve mapped both sides: upside into 1.170–1.174 makes sense for liquidity sweep + full FVG fill before sellers potentially take over again.

[rafihasan]

That 1-hour FVG break level is key — lose it, and the bullish case probably collapses quickly into deeper downside.