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  1. Home
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  3. Gold- The start of a meaningful correction?

Gold- The start of a meaningful correction?

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Trading
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  • m_c_jacobM Offline
    m_c_jacobM Offline
    m_c_jacob
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    XAUUSD_2025-10-03_06-51-44.png

    Since Monday, I’ve been writing about the high probability of a correction after Gold’s impressive rise that started on 20 August.
    My point was simple: even the strongest bullish trends are not one-way streets — retracements are part of the journey.

    Yesterday proved that idea once again. After initially finding support near the 3860 zone, Gold staged a weak bounce, even printing a fresh but fragile ATH.
    However, that move was quickly reversed as sellers stepped in aggressively, triggering four consecutive hours of selling, almost a mirror image of Tuesday’s drop.

    From the local low at 3818, Gold managed a rebound and, at the time of writing, trades around 3846 — a natural recovery after such a sharp decline.


    The Bigger Picture
    The broader trend is undeniably bullish, and I don’t expect that to change anytime soon. But a more meaningful correction looks increasingly likely in the coming days.

    Why do I call it meaningful? Because if we zoom out on the daily chart, we see that since late August, Gold has been in a near straight-line rise. Apart from a two-day pullback in mid-September and a minor setback on the 24th, every dip has been shallow, intraday, and quickly erased.
    This type of price action cannot last forever. Markets need breathers, even in uptrends.


    Key Technical Levels
    • Resistance: The 3900 zone now acts as a strong ceiling, capping bullish attempts.
    • Support: Bears could eye the 3790 zone first, with the potential for a deeper move toward 3700 if pressure intensifies.


    Trading Plan
    The strategy, in my view, remains unchanged: sell rallies until a proper correction develops.
    The big trend is still bullish — but even bulls must allow the market to breathe. 🚀

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