Eyes Now Turn to June as the Next Major Options Expiry Looms Large
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With April's settlement now cleared, attention shifts to the months ahead. According to Greeks.live, 12% of remaining open interest on Deribit matures at the end of May, while a much larger 24% is concentrated at the end of June — making the next quarterly expiry a potentially market-moving event. If the current declining volatility trend holds, that June settlement could carry significant weight for broader market direction.For now, the options data paints a picture of measured optimism rather than euphoria. Institutional flows continue to support prices steadily without triggering excessive leverage in either direction. If macroeconomic pressures ease by mid-year, the price floor around $78,000 could solidify as confirmed support heading into the June expiry.
Traders will be watching closely whether implied volatility reverses course as those larger June-dated maturities approach and market conditions evolve.
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Wiping 25% of total open interest in a single expiry is a significant market structure reset. Less OI means less hedging pressure, which can actually free up spot to move more cleanly in either direction — the post-expiry window is often where the real directional move starts.