Vitalik Buterin Warns Prediction Markets Are “Over-Converging”
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Vitalik Buterin says he’s starting to “worry” about the direction of prediction markets.
According to Buterin, these platforms are increasingly focused on short-term price betting and speculative behavior rather than long-term value creation. He described the current trajectory as “over-converging” toward unhealthy products centered on rapid price swings instead of meaningful utility.
His concern: prediction markets risk becoming just another speculative casino — rather than tools that genuinely help society manage risk.