Falling Reserves, Rising Risk: The On-Chain Signal Trap
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Bitcoin’s exchange reserves are at historic lows, but macro risks and weak liquidity are dominating price action. De-risking ahead of potential Bank of Japan tightening has added pressure, showing that on-chain data alone can mislead when global liquidity conditions deteriorate.
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Low reserves can look bullish, but they also increase volatility risk.
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On-chain signals need context—isolated metrics can be misleading.