Paradigm: Polymarket Volumes May Be Inflated

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A Paradigm researcher says Polymarket’s reported trading volume may be significantly overstated due to a “data bug.” Major dashboards were unknowingly double-counting trades because Polymarket’s on-chain data emits duplicate “OrderFilled” events for makers and takers — two representations of the same trade.

[Abdul Khan]

If volumes are inflated, it raises big questions for investors.

[Nahid Hossen]

Transparency will make or break prediction markets long term.