Liquidity & the “Up Only” Setup
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Follow the Liquidity, Not the Hype
Arthur Hayes (BitMEX co-founder) says Bitcoin could enter “up only” mode once the U.S. Treasury fills its General Account (TGA) to $850B.Here’s why it matters:
While the Treasury is filling the account, liquidity is drained from markets.
Once the target is hit, liquidity flows back into risk assets — like Bitcoin.
The account is already at ~$807B. Translation: We’re close.
Every past liquidity cycle has fueled major BTC rallies. Smart investors prepare before the floodgates open. -
TGA refill = liquidity drain… but once $850B is hit, BTC gets the floodgates.

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Arthur Hayes might be right: we’re only ~$40B away from “up only” mode.
