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Polymarket traders are betting on the odds of Sam Bankman-Fried being pardoned in 2025, which surged from 5.6% to 12% after Trump pardoned Binance’s CZ. Over $6.5M has been wagered on Trump’s next potential pardon.
Speculative markets thrive on uncertainty—SBF odds reflect curiosity, not expectation.
These wagers often act as sentiment thermometers rather than political forecasts.