Hero Portfolio

Great analysis! The controlled uptrend is undeniable, but I’m watching that upper boundary too. If we get a sweep and rejection, it could be a golden short setup. If bulls smash through, trend continuation might surprise a lot of traders still stuck short.

I like that you’ve set clear limit entries at 139 and 144. In volatile setups like this, defined entry zones are everything. That said, 4th wave corrections can be deceptive — they sometimes extend longer than traders expect before breaking out. If we do get that push to a double top, scaling out along the way might lock in gains while still letting you ride the “much higher” long-term target. For anyone following, stops under those zones aren’t about fear — they’re about keeping capital ready for the next setup.

I like how you’ve mapped both scenarios. For me, the real battle will be at the bearish 4H FVG resistance. If EUR/USD reaches 1.170–1.174, I expect heavy sell orders waiting, potentially triggering a rejection. That could be the perfect “fakeout then dump” setup if the macro sentiment stays risk-off. Until then, I’m leaning bullish from the 1.158–1.160 zone — but with a tight invalidation in case the floor gives way.

What stands out here is the pattern recognition framework you’ve built. The distinction between “Bullish Pattern – Longs Growing / Shorts Closing” vs. “Profit-Taking Move” is something most traders miss, and it’s why many end up buying into tops just as institutions are scaling out. I also appreciate that you acknowledged COT isn’t an entry trigger but a bias filter — combining it with chart structure and price action is exactly how you avoid getting chopped up in countertrend rallies. The example with Gold is spot on: without tracking position changes, retail often sees a breakout, but COT quietly reveals it’s just a liquidation spike. This kind of systematic approach to sentiment data is gold (pun intended). Would be great to see a follow-up post showing how you merge these insights with actual chart zones for swing setups.

Stellar finally feels like it’s stepping into a bigger role in the crypto ecosystem. Soroban smart contracts + 5,000 TPS opens up entirely new categories of applications that simply weren’t possible on XLM before. Combine that with their established payment rails and partnerships, and you’ve got a chain that can serve both retail remittances and complex DeFi products.From a technical perspective, this support zone is critical. Holding it could trigger a clean leg up toward the $0.53 target — roughly 19% from here — while also flipping market sentiment in XLM’s favor. Lose it, and we’re probably looking at a retest of deeper supports before the next rally attempt.Either way, with Protocol 23 live and DeFi now in play, I think XLM has a much stronger growth narrative than it did just a few months ago.

NZD/CAD triangle breakout is in play — and momentum looks ready to build. After days of compression, this breakout could trigger a trend move if bulls stay in control. That said, we’ve seen plenty of false breakouts this year across FX pairs. Key will be how price behaves around 0.840 — hold and build structure = bullish confirmation. Rejection or weak volume = potential trap. 🧠 Strategy here? Trail stops tight, scale in on confirmation, and don’t assume vertical moves. Let market structure guide the next entry.

🟡 Gold still has room to run, especially after this healthy pullback. In a world of rate cut debates, inflation worries, and fiat fear, gold continues to look like the adult in the room. The recent dip could just be a retest of previous breakout zones. If bulls step back in and break above near-term resistance, we may see a strong continuation move. Especially if geopolitical or economic tensions flare up again.It’s less about hype and more about historical behavior — gold thrives in uncertain times, and 2024–2025 has plenty of that ahead.

This kind of structure — slow grind down, followed by gradual curve up — usually reflects distribution turning into smart accumulation. If volume begins to rise along with price, it’s a strong sign that institutional buyers are re-entering.Also, with election season nearing and rate cuts potentially on the horizon, the S&P might just be gearing up for a bigger-than-expected rally. Always pays to respect the chart, even when the sentiment feels uncertain. Solid TA here.