Bitcoin Market Analysis | Merry Christmas
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Hope you’re having a great holiday season.
Fear & Greed Index: 28 → Fear
Let’s take a look at Bitcoin and see where the market stands right now.At the moment, BTC is clearly ranging between 85,000 and 89,000. There’s no meaningful trend change yet, and price is still stuck inside this box.
Bullish trigger:
A clean breakout above 88,600 can be considered a valid long trigger.Bearish trigger:
From the downside, losing the 86,700 – 86,000 area can act as a short trigger.Other than these levels, the market doesn’t offer anything special right now. We are still moving within the same structure, and as mentioned before, the probability of range-bound price action until the end of the year remains high.
Because of this:
Don’t over-risk.
If you’re getting stopped out, it doesn’t necessarily mean your strategy is bad.
The real issue is lack of volume and momentum, not execution.
To understand this better, compare this week’s Bitcoin volume with last week’s:
Even though the weekly candle hasn’t closed yet, we only have today and tomorrow left for movement.
Saturday and Sunday are usually low-liquidity days.
So far, there’s been no significant volume, which increases the probability of fake moves and stop hunts.
Trading Plan
Set your alerts.
Don’t force trades.
If you take a position, take quick profits (RR 2–3 max) and exit fast.
This is not the environment to hold for big R-multiples.
Thanks for reading the analysis.
Trade safe, manage risk, and stay consistent — longevity matters more than anything in this market.
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Low volume makes me nervous