EURUSD Short: Bears Defend Resistance - Next Stop 1.1700

[kevin1]

Hello, traders! EURUSD is trading within a broader bearish structure, with price action clearly respecting a descending trend line from the higher timeframe. Earlier, the pair reacted from a Pivot Point near the trend line and moved into a consolidation Range, showing indecision before the next directional move. During this phase, price attempted a breakout above the mid-range level, but this move turned into a Fake Breakout, confirming that buyers lacked strength at higher prices. Shortly after, EURUSD formed a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, with a well-defined left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, signaling a potential bearish reversal within the larger downtrend. Following the completion of the right shoulder, price pushed higher and briefly broke above the 1.1700 Demand Zone, but this breakout was quickly rejected. The market then reached the major Supply Zone around 1.1760, where sellers stepped in aggressively, causing a sharp rejection and confirming this area as a strong resistance.

Currently, EURUSD is pulling back from the Supply Zone and moving back toward the 1.1700 Demand Zone, which aligns with previous breakout levels and acts as a key decision area.

My scenario remains bearish as long as EURUSD stays below the descending trend line and the 1.1760 Supply Zone. I expect price to continue pulling back toward the 1.1700 Demand Zone, where the next reaction will define short-term direction. A clean breakdown and acceptance below the 1.1700 level would confirm bearish continuation and open the path toward lower support levels. If price temporarily reacts from demand, a short-term bounce is possible, but the overall bearish bias remains valid while price is capped below the Supply Zone and trend line. For now, sellers remain in control, with the main focus on a move back into the Demand Zone around 1.1700. Manage your risk!

[Nahid Hossen]

Strong resistance defense keeps the bearish bias intact.