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  1. Home
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  3. Velocity Of Money Rolling Over Again!

Velocity Of Money Rolling Over Again!

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Trading
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  • AIcashA Offline
    AIcashA Offline
    AIcash
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    The Real Interpretation
    This chart is telling one story:

    Money supply growth has massively outpaced real output for decades.

    It lines up perfectly with:
    Falling real productivity
    Stagnant wages
    Declining borrower quality
    Rising debt-to-GDP
    Asset inflation decoupling from fundamentals
    The economy shifting from productive borrowing → consumption and asset speculation

    You don't fix this with “policy choices.”
    You fix it with real wealth creation, which requires creditworthy borrowers — not printing.

    Forward-Looking View
    Unless:

    Productivity rises
    Real output accelerates
    Borrowers gain real income strength
    Capital flows into productive sectors instead of financial games…this ratio won’t materially rise.

    That means:

    Every new dollar is buying less GDP
    Long-term growth potential is fading
    More money chasing fewer productive opportunities
    More fragility in the credit system

    It’s a classic late-cycle fiat symptom.

    If you want to push someone to accept this reality, here are questions to ask:

    If “money creation” creates growth, why is GDP-per-dollar collapsing?
    Why did 40 years of money expansion not produce proportional GDP?
    If borrowers create loans, where are the new productive borrowers?
    Why did QE cause asset inflation but no sustainable GDP boost?
    If the system is “fine,” why does each new dollar buy less real output?

    Perma Bulls, MMTers, Politicians etc.. can’t answer those without admitting the private-sector engine is weakening.
    The less productive output per $ while the markets keep rising & rising will only produce less and less profit per share over time. No matter how much lipstick they put on that pig. Eventually, the economy & markets will CRASH! They always correct themselves in the end.

    Perma Bulls have no exit strategy and will go down with the boat!

    MMTers will want Gov to borrow and spend EVEN MORE! despite the empirical self-evident fact that print and play doesn't work!

    Politicians will borrow and spend even more, claiming they will "STIMULATE THE ECONOMY"

    I got all that from just one chart? NO! The entire spectrum of data.

    Here is one
    68d90764-9b03-4c45-a152-63522115cd4d-image.png

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • Abdul KhanA Offline
      Abdul KhanA Offline
      Abdul Khan
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      A slowdown in velocity usually signals broader market hesitation.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • Abdul KhanA Offline
        Abdul KhanA Offline
        Abdul Khan
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        When money stops moving, volatility often follows soon after.

        1 Reply Last reply
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