📈 Pantera’s 2022 Bitcoin Call Lands Almost Perfectly in 2025
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Sometimes, the crypto world gets predictions so wrong they’re meme-worthy.
Other times… they hit the bullseye.
The Prediction
Back in November 2022, Pantera Capital’s Dan Morehead forecasted:
“BTC will reach $117,482 by August 11, 2025.”
At the time, Bitcoin was diving toward its bear market bottom, eventually hitting $15,800 on Nov. 21, 2022.
The Result
Fast forward to August 11, 2025: BTC closed above $119,000.
That’s +660% from the cycle low. Accuracy? Let’s just say… you could frame that chart and hang it in a trading office.
The Four-Year Cycle Theory
Pantera’s model relies on Bitcoin’s halving cycles:
Halving → reduced new supply. Rally → cycle peak. Correction → accumulation phase.
Despite talk that “this time is different,” history seems to be rhyming again.
The Institutional Twist
Skeptics argue the four-year pattern may fade:
Spot Bitcoin ETFs launched in Jan 2024 → now hold 7.1% of all BTC. Public & private companies hold another 1.36M BTC. Some analysts believe corporate treasuries and ETFs will change supply-demand dynamics permanently.
Takeaway: Whether you’re a cycle believer or think institutions will rewrite Bitcoin’s playbook, Pantera’s near-perfect call is a reminder — sometimes, zooming out works better than chasing daily noise.
#Bitcoin #BTC #HalvingCycle #CryptoMarkets #PanteraCapital #DYOR