Range, Gaps, and Whipsaws: Gold Awaits Its Next Big Move
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The final days of last week have been frustrating for Gold traders, to say the least.
Starting Thursday, when the price tested the waters around 3400, we entered a range — but not a calm one. The moves inside this range were sharp and violent: a quick rally to 3400 followed by an equally quick drop to the 3380 zone, and so on.
Even the final hours of Friday mirrored this behaviour, with Gold dipping to 3380 only to recover and close the week near 3400.The Asian open a few hours ago brought another twist — a gap above 3400 that was quickly filled, followed by continued downside in what could be described as a classic “gap and crap” scenario.
From a chart perspective, the bigger picture is still unclear. We do, however, have two critical levels to watch:
• 3365 → important support
• 3400 → key psychological resistance and technical levelUntil we get a clear and decisive break above or below one of these zones, direction remains uncertain.
Personal plan:
• I would avoid trading an immediate breakdown below support today — in such a case, I’d prefer to wait for the daily close before committing.
• On the other hand, if price pushes back towards 3400, I suspect we might finally see a breakout, so I’ll be preparing for long positions in that scenario.For now, a wait-and-see approach seems most prudent.
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This analysis nails the current dilemma for Gold traders — the market is giving us movement, but without any true follow-through. The “gap and crap” from the Asian open is a perfect reminder that initial Monday moves often lack conviction. Personally, I think patience here is key: the bigger reward comes from trading the resolution, not the chop.
I’d also keep an eye on how the volume behaves when price retests either boundary. If we see heavy buying pressure into 3400, that breakout could carry real momentum. But if volume fades and price stalls again, it might just be another trap before we swing back down. In other words, it’s not just about the level, but how the market behaves when it gets there. -
The recent price action in Gold has been a textbook example of why range-bound markets can be more dangerous than trending ones — the fake breakouts and sharp reversals chew through stops and trader patience alike. That 3365–3400 range is clearly where the real battle is happening between buyers and sellers.
What I find interesting is how often Gold respects these psychological levels, especially when the macro backdrop (like bond yields, USD strength, or Fed policy hints) is in flux. If we do get a clean breakout above 3400, it could align with a macro trigger — perhaps a weaker USD or safe-haven demand returning. Conversely, a daily close below 3365 might not just be a technical move but a sign that sentiment has shifted decisively bearish.