Trading

Agree on the 120.5K target — unmitigated FVGs almost always get filled once momentum shifts like this

Really detailed breakdown! I like how you tied the short-term levels (110,600 & 104,800) with technical confluence like FVGs, moving averages, and Fibonacci retracement. The liquidity sweep idea below 105,130 makes a lot of sense too — whales love hunting those stops. Your mid-term bearish outlook also resonates. The completed 12345 impulse wave combined with the trendline break does suggest downside momentum. If BTC really does revisit sub-60k levels in 2026, it would shake out a lot of overleveraged players and set the stage for a healthier long-term cycle. Could you also check Ethereum (ETH) for me? I’m curious if its structure shows similar weakness or if it’s holding up stronger than BTC right now.

Really solid analysis! The structure of this ascending triangle does look “toppy” on the 30-minute chart, and the fact that USD/JPY has been overextended in recent sessions makes your short setup even more attractive. Your first target at 146.82 lines up with minor liquidity zones, and the deeper target near 146.40 could bring some serious risk-reward if the move plays out. Personally, I’ll be looking for confirmation from RSI/MACD divergence before entering, but the bias is definitely tilting to the downside here. Posts like this are what keep traders sharp — clear entry ideas, well-defined targets, and disciplined thinking. Thanks for the value you’re adding to the community!

Really sharp observation . The purple structure makes sense — we’ve already seen how ETH respects these channels with multiple touches. If 4570 holds as rejection, the risk of sliding into that lower bear channel increases a lot. I like how you pointed out 4238 as a fast-fill level; the confluence with volume gaps in that area adds weight. On the flip side, a clean breakout above that purple resistance could flip the whole structure bullish again. Key inflection zone right here.

I agree with your long bias here. This consolidation feels more like healthy market rotation rather than distribution — the higher lows are telling the story. If BTC can hold the ascending support and push back into the upper zone, we might even see momentum traders piling in, adding fuel to the upside. The key to watch in my opinion is how price reacts around 120K — a clean break there could trigger FOMO and take us far beyond the pennant.

Great breakdown! Totally agree about altcoins needing to cool off a bit. Can you check Solana (SOL) next? I feel like it’s been leading the pack lately, wondering where the next good entry would be.

Nice update Makes sense that we’re basically stuck in a range here. I’m personally watching for any fakeouts at 3387 because liquidity grabs around resistance have been common lately. A clean flip above would be huge, but until then, range trading seems the safer play.

Looks solid! I’d like to see how TON reacts on lower timeframes before the breakout — could be a good spot for entries on retests.

Appreciate the detailed breakdown September’s weakness lines up with past cycles too. Loading bags in October sounds like the smart play

Incredible analysis. BNB’s fundamentals + BNC’s positioning could be a game-changer, especially since no other U.S. public company has taken this approach. I agree that this setup combines both a narrative play (BNB adoption) and a technical one (markdown → markup phase shift). The deflationary nature of BNB plus staking yield makes it very different from traditional corporate treasury assets, and if institutional money follows like it did with Bitcoin, the upside could be explosive. Of course, regulatory risk and volatility are still major variables, but risk-managed exposure here could be a strategic bet for early movers.

Excellent point about respecting stop losses — too many traders forget discipline once Bitcoin starts printing new highs. I agree with your view that wave 5 looks nearly complete and we may be entering the corrective phase. The divergence is a textbook warning, and with USDT.D showing strength, I’d rather be cautious than chase the pump here. Whether or not we see another ATH in the short term, I think the more important factor is how BTC handles the $118K gap region — that could set the tone for the next leg. Appreciate the balanced tone in your analysis — not just hype, but actual strategy.

$1,489/month to run an op tied to a $680K hack? That ROI is exactly why DPRK keeps trying — and why Web3 needs better cross-platform intel sharing to stop them early.

Appreciate the transparency here — both on the wins and the possible losses. Too many only show the highlight reel. Will be following to see how this September thesis plays out

That 1-hour FVG break level is key — lose it, and the bullish case probably collapses quickly into deeper downside.

I like the downside target call. Untouched fair value gaps have a sneaky habit of pulling price in before the next major leg — wouldn’t be surprised to see that happen here.

The correlation you mentioned with the S&P 500 is key — if equities roll over from here, it could be the catalyst for Bitcoin’s main correction. The $121K–$125K region feels like a battleground where smart money might be distributing into strength while retail chases the breakout. One thing I’m watching is funding rates and open interest: if they spike alongside price into the PRZ, that’s a recipe for a long squeeze back down. For me, the plan is simple — take profit into strength, protect capital, and avoid chasing this late in the wave. If we do get a corrective ABC move, it could set up a cleaner re-entry for the next macro cycle.

The recent price action in Gold has been a textbook example of why range-bound markets can be more dangerous than trending ones — the fake breakouts and sharp reversals chew through stops and trader patience alike. That 3365–3400 range is clearly where the real battle is happening between buyers and sellers. What I find interesting is how often Gold respects these psychological levels, especially when the macro backdrop (like bond yields, USD strength, or Fed policy hints) is in flux. If we do get a clean breakout above 3400, it could align with a macro trigger — perhaps a weaker USD or safe-haven demand returning. Conversely, a daily close below 3365 might not just be a technical move but a sign that sentiment has shifted decisively bearish.

This chart screams momentum — leverage flush + breakout retest is a recipe for a strong rally.

Appreciate the big-picture view. If BTC hits $155K, the altcoin wave could be insane — my picks would be SOL, LINK, and AVAX

Great call on scaling out into strength. Protecting capital during the euphoria phase is where most traders slip up