MN Trading Capital founder Michael van de Poppe has a straightforward message for investors waiting for the perfect catalyst before buying Bitcoin: stop waiting for a narrative and start using math. Van de Poppe argued on Friday that Bitcoin does not need a new story to push back above $100,000, pointing out that price movements create their own narratives after the fact rather than following them. His conclusion is that current price levels around $78,000, which Bitcoin has not traded above $100,000 since November, represent a statistically sound accumulation zone for investors with a medium to long-term horizon. Bitcoin is up 14.49% over the past 30 days and has recovered from a February low of $60,000, a 30% recovery without any single dominant narrative driving the move.

The practical investment approach van de Poppe is advocating is not complex. Dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin at current levels, between $75,000 and $80,000, positions buyers below the psychological $100,000 resistance with a clear upside target and a recoverable downside if the market retests lower levels. Several converging factors support the accumulation case without requiring any single catalyst to materialize: Strategy has been buying $7.2 billion in Bitcoin over eight weeks and shows no signs of slowing its STRC-funded accumulation, ETF inflows have resumed with a nine-day streak earlier this month generating $3.9 billion, and long-term holder supply is growing while short-term speculator supply has been flushed out. A White House crypto advisor also indicated this week that a major announcement on President Trump's Bitcoin reserve is coming within weeks, which could provide the headline catalyst that drives the narrative van de Poppe says will create itself regardless.